Mosticare-derived risk classificationderived
CC BY 4.0 (Mosticare Ühing)
risk_class combines competent-vector presence with the |lat|<=45 climatic envelope. This is a coarse FIRST FILTER for transmission plausibility, NOT a mechanistic environmental-suitability model. Do not read it as calibrated risk. The mechanistic model lives under source 'worldclim-sdm' and is labelled preliminary.
Mosticare intervention-research overlay (literature-derived)derived
CC BY 4.0 (Mosticare Ühing)
Derived from the OpenAlex corpus: works tagged with an engineered-intervention theme, technology read from the theme, target vector inferred from the title, geography from author-affiliation countries. This maps where intervention RESEARCH concentrates by technology x vector x country. It is NOT a verified field-trial-site registry and carries no release coordinates.
GBIF occurrence facets (7 principal vector species)
CC0 1.0 + CC BY 4.0 (licence-filtered country facets; scripts/fetch-gbif-occ.py)
Presence-only and effort-biased: counts reflect where people sample, not mosquito abundance. Licence-filtered to CC0 and CC BY records only, so a blank or 0 count means 'no openly-licensed GBIF record', NOT confirmed absence; some true presences whose only GBIF evidence is CC-BY-NC (notably several African malaria vectors) are not shown by GBIF alone; the Anopheline vectors are supplemented from the Malaria Atlas Project (see map-anopheles). Country-level presence is the reliable layer; the point sample is capped per species and under-represents under-surveyed regions.
Malaria Atlas Project, dominant Anopheles vector occurrence (country presence)
CC BY 4.0
Country-level presence for An. gambiae, An. funestus and An. stephensi from the Malaria Atlas Project dominant-vector surveys (CC BY 4.0). Presence only, not abundance; a country without a record is not a confirmed absence. Used to restore vector presences whose GBIF evidence is non-commercial-licensed, so not redistributable.
Natural Earth 1:50m admin-0
Public domain
Country polygons + centroid latitudes used for the |lat|<=45 climatic band filter.
OpenAlex, mosquito vector biology & control corpus (12 themes)
CC0 1.0
6,137 deduplicated works, relevance-ranked top ~800 per theme, 2021+. Themes overlap (a work can count in several). Trend counts are exact facets.
WHO Global Health Observatory, World Malaria Report indicators
WHO GHO terms of use (attribution required)
Modelled estimates, latest available year per country (mostly 2023-24); not directly comparable to raw notification counts. WHO GHO carries no global dengue case dataset, a real surveillance gap; Aedes-borne risk is proxied by competent-vector presence, not reported cases.
WHO, countries offering malaria vaccines (malaria vaccine Q&A)
WHO terms of use (verbatim attribution required; no modification, no commercial use)
WHO names the countries offering malaria vaccines but does not say which product (RTS,S/AS01 or R21/Matrix-M) each country uses, and gives no per-country introduction date. Both are recorded honestly: the product field says the source does not name it, and the date is null. 'Offering' covers both national and subnational programmes, so a listed country is not necessarily vaccinating everywhere. WHO terms allow display with exact attribution, not redistribution, so these rows are never committed to a slice or an export.
World Bank Open Data, population (SP.POP.TOTL) + income/region class.
CC BY 4.0
Latest available total population; income group and region are World Bank classifications.
Environmental suitability, WorldClim 2.1 + CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR random-forest SDMpreview
WorldClim 2.1 CC BY 4.0; CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR per-model terms (download sign-off pending)
PRELIMINARY MODELLED LAYER, read it as a reason for caution, not reassurance. A random-forest species-distribution model over WorldClim 2.1 bioclimatic variables, with CMIP6 MPI-ESM1-2-HR (SSP5-8.5) for the 2070 projection, target-group plus random background, cold-limit masked. Climatic suitability ONLY: it excludes land use, human density, and vector-control effort, so it is a transmission-plausibility ENVELOPE, not calibrated risk and not an established range. Crucially, a LOW or BLANK value is NOT a safety signal: it often means an area is under-surveyed, not vector-free, and absence of evidence is not evidence of absence. Where a competent vector is plausible, Mosticare's guidance is to protect against bites, physical barriers such as long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) first, not repellent alone. Modelled for 3 priority vectors: Aedes albopictus, Aedes aegypti, Anopheles stephensi.